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SMM April 12th:
Copper: Today's Lun copper opened at $6913, and the zinc plummeted. The copper was dragged down, moving away from the daily average and temporarily finishing at $6,885/ton. Going down again in the afternoon, we lowered the low of $6,831/ton and sorted it out briefly. After entering European time, the daily average line fluctuated widely, and the zinc was again discharged. The copper fell and fell again, showing a broken position again. As of 18:30, Luneng reported $6,800/ton, down $111/ton, down 1.6%, and the US dollar index was at 89.760. The US crude oil sector was down. From a technical perspective, today's opening is near the 40-day moving average, trapped in the 5-day moving average, and the next 10 days and 20-day moving averages will continue to provide some support. KDJ tends to expand. It is expected to test the support capacity of $6,800/ton in the evening, paying attention to the number of initial jobless claims (10,000 people) in the US on April 7.
Today's Shanghai copper main force 1806 contract opened at 51,000 yuan / ton in the morning market, the early entry of the disk, but did not reverse the decline, copper prices down from the average daily line, low 50,630 yuan / ton, slightly in the 50,750 yuan / ton line . In the afternoon, another wave of short-selling, the copper price was dragged down again and again, down to the low of 50,300 yuan / ton in the day, then rebounded slightly, the shock run in the interval of 50,480 yuan / ton to 50,580 yuan / ton, the end of the short-term profit-taking Copper prices rose slightly, closing at 50,620 yuan / ton, down 650 yuan / ton, down 1.27%. Volume increased by 74,156 lots to 261,000 lots, and warehouses increased by 6,202 hands to 236,000 hands. Today's short-term large-scale Masukura, zinc prices plummeted, dragging down the price of copper. From a technical perspective, today's Shanghai copper main 1805 contract is limited to the 5th and 20th moving averages. The 10-day moving average below provides some support. KDJ tends to shrink, and the MACD red energy column is slightly reduced. It is expected to test 50,500 support capacity at night.
Today's Shanghai electrolytic copper spot on the current month contract posted water 20 yuan / ton - premium 40 yuan / ton, flat water copper transaction price 50680 yuan / ton -50780 yuan / ton, premium copper transaction price 50700 yuan / ton -50800 yuan / ton. Shanghai copper from the 51,000 yuan / ton first-line diving 400 yuan / ton, the morning market price flat water copper discount 20 yuan / ton, good copper was pressed to the vicinity of Pingshui, only a small number of traders deal. After the disk dive, some of the downstream dips received the goods, the buying interest improved, and the price rose. In the second trading session, Pingshui Copper has been difficult to affix to the source of water supply, and the quotation has gradually increased to 10 yuan/ton of premium water. The good copper has also been lifted up to 20-40 yuan/ton of premium water. The transaction price is not as good as that of flat water copper. The main force for receiving goods today. The disk fell to around 50,500 yuan / ton, and the pattern of stalemate in the previous two days improved significantly. In the afternoon, as the disk fell, the holders further raised the premium. Although there were buying in the downstream, but the trade was not as good as the afternoon, the traders stopped. In the afternoon, the spot transaction price of Shanghai electrolytic copper was 50,450 yuan / ton -50,620 yuan / ton, Pingshui copper reported 10 yuan / ton - liter of water 20 yuan / ton, premium copper reported water 30 yuan / ton - liter of water 50 yuan / ton.
Aluminum: Lun aluminum opened at 2,245 US dollars / ton in the morning, the domestic metal trend is not good during the Asian session, Lun aluminum is also weakly weak, into the European trading hours, LME announced that aluminum stocks increased significantly by more than 90,000 tons to 1.25 million tons, and In February, European industrial output data fell short of expectations, boosting the US dollar soaring, the base metal pressured to vent, and Lun aluminum accelerated the downward trend to reach 2,203 US dollars / ton, basically reversing yesterday's gains, as of 17:37 Lun aluminum reported 2213.5 US dollars / ton It is expected that there will continue to be a large number of Russian aluminum grade aluminum ingots before April 17, and the LME aluminum 0-3 contract spread under the Contango structure will further expand.
In the morning, Shanghai Aluminum's main contract opened at 14,350 yuan / ton. At the beginning of the session, the bears took the initiative to pressure, the aluminum price was under pressure, and the low price touched 14,240 yuan / ton. Then the narrow range fluctuated at the 5 day moving average, and the bulls once again concentrated in the afternoon. In the field, Shanghai Aluminum was pushed back above the daily average line, and the 5-day moving average was regained. The closing price was 14325 yuan/ton, and the Shanghai Aluminum Index position increased by 6788 lots to 815708 lots. Lun aluminum was under high pressure and Shanghai Aluminum had a relatively high pressure on its fundamentals. It is expected to continue to test the 5-day moving average support at night.
In terms of spot, Shanghai's transaction concentration is 14170~14180 yuan/ton, and the discount for the month is 70~60 yuan/ton, and the monthly discount is 40~30 yuan/ton. The transaction volume of Wuxi was 14170~14180 yuan/ton, and the transaction volume of Hangzhou was 14170~14190 yuan/ton. The shipments of holders were stable, the shadow of war put pressure on commodity prices, the middlemen cautiously received the goods, and the downstream enterprises still procured according to the need, and the overall transaction was poor. In the afternoon, the transaction price of East China was 14180~14190 yuan/ton.
Lead: In the day, Lun lead opened at 2390.5 US dollars / ton, affected by the geopolitical situation, the panic market escaped at the beginning of the market, Len Zhan led the decline, the lead lead shocked down, low 2360 yuan first line, after a narrow range around the daily average The amplitude fluctuation does not exceed 20 US dollars / ton, entering the European period, affected by the collective weakening of non-ferrous metals, Lun lead once again expanded the decline, as of 17:25, Lun lead closed at 2340 US dollars / ton, down 51 US dollars / ton, down 2.13 %. Lun lead fell sharply, smashing the previous shock platform, and it is expected that the lead or inertia will weaken in the evening.
In the day, Shanghai lead main 1805 contract opened at 18515 yuan / ton, Shanghai zinc fell 3% at the beginning of the session, leading the decline of non-ferrous metals, while Shanghai lead resilience is strong, early in the morning to maintain the red disk above the shock, opened in the afternoon, dragged by Shanghai zinc Shanghai lead once dive, low 18350 yuan / ton, after the trend was weak, under pressure to run below the daily average, and finally closed at 18,475 yuan / ton, down 20 yuan / ton, a decrease of 0.11%, the volume increased by 30,824 hands to 57,724 Hand, the amount of positions decreased by 716 hands to 41,718 hands, the capital outflow 5.46 million. The Shanghai lead volume was closed to the Yinxian line, and the Yinxian line was reported on the 6th. The downward trend was formed, but the current support of 18,350 yuan remained, and the Shanghai lead or inertia weakened at night.
Shanghai market Jinsha lead 18,765 yuan / ton, 1805 contract premium 180 yuan / ton offer; South 18,735 yuan / ton, 1805 contract premium 150 yuan / ton offer; Hengbang 18,715 yuan / ton, 1805 contract premium 130 yuan / ton Quotation; Mengzi 18,705 yuan / ton, on the 1805 contract premium 120 yuan / ton offer. The highs of the period were volatile, and the holders were quoting with them, but the downstream was generally eager to wait and see, the inquiry was less, and the trading in the loose market was light.
Guangdong market lead 18635 yuan / ton, 1805 contract premium 50 yuan / ton offer; South China lead 18550 yuan / ton, SMM1 # lead average price flat water offer. The lead price is stable, and the holders are selling at a very high price. However, the enthusiasm for receiving goods downstream is not high, and they are more wait-and-see attitudes. Henan, Henan, lead 18,550 yuan / ton, the average price of SMM1 # lead flat water; Jinli, Wanyang main long list, loose single offer not quotation; another Jinli loose single 18755 yuan / ton (traders supply), on 1805 The contract premium is 170 yuan / ton. The refinery's single-selling single-price shipments, while the downstream battery market demand is not strong, and some of the demand is diverted to recycled lead, the overall transaction is still dominated by long orders. The copper crown of Anhui Province is 18,700 yuan/ton, and the average price of SMM1# lead is 150 yuan/ton. The main demand for long-term singles in Jiangxi is not quoted. The Yuteng and Shuikoushan in Hunan are 18,550 yuan/ton. The average price of SMM1# lead is flat. There are not many refineries, and the quotation is firmer. At the same time, the downstream wait-and-see is cautious, and the market turnover of the single-sheet market is slightly worse than yesterday.
Zinc: Zenelon zinc opened at 3229.5 US dollars / ton, the first zinc plate was consolidating near the opening price. After the opening of the Asian market, Shanghai zinc was sold out by short sellers. Under the linkage of internal and external linkages, the zinc diving was nearly 100 US dollars/ton. After 3133.5 US dollars / ton, the price was slightly repaired. However, the short selling power did not decrease. After entering the European time, Lun Zinc once again led the decline of basic metals. It once broke the 3100 US dollars, lowered the low 3098 US dollars / ton, and the center of gravity sinked to 3110 US dollars / A narrow range of consolidation near the ton. As of 17:45, Lun Zinc reported 3,110 US dollars / ton, down 106 US dollars / ton, a decrease of 3.52%. Lun Zinc received a large Yin column today, with a drop of over 3%. The daily line has broken and stayed away from the moving average. The weekly chart has also broken the 40-day moving average, which is close to the 60-day moving average, at $3030/ton. The domestic airspace atmosphere has led to a decline. At present, there is still no good news to release the rescue. In the evening, zinc may be difficult to recover, or it will weaken and consolidate at the $3,100 mark.
In the day, the main contract of Shanghai Zinc 1806 was opened at 24,380 yuan / ton. At the beginning of the session, some of the short positions were carried out to explore the road. Shanghai zinc fell to 24,250 yuan / ton for a while, and then the short-selling situation, only 1 hour of Masukura more than 5 Thousands of hands, Shanghai zinc accelerated discharge, only paused near 23,860 yuan / ton, the center of gravity sinked to around 23,620 yuan / ton, the low touched 23,435 yuan / ton, until the late afternoon, some short profits, Shanghai zinc Stop falling and consolidating. The final report fell by 23,625 yuan / ton, down 955 yuan / ton, a decrease of 3.89%, the volume of transactions increased by 440,000 hands to 916,000 hands, the number of positions increased by 72,826 hands to 295,000 hands. In the day, Shanghai zinc plunged nearly 1,000 yuan to directly break through the lower rail of Brin Road, until there is still a small amount of shorts entering the market, while the bulls have little entry and fire, and the fundamentals still constitute a short-selling reason. Not long, hopes of falling in the evening are not big, 23,500 yuan may be difficult to defend.
Shanghai 0# zinc mainstream traded at 23820-24480 yuan / ton, 0 # ordinary brand on Shanghai zinc 1805 contract premium 80-120 yuan / ton, 0 # double Yan on May premium 100-140 yuan / ton, Shuangyan offer The transaction was more active than usual. 1# mainstream transaction at 23780-24410 yuan / ton. The Shanghai Zinc 1805 contract was discharged in the middle of the waterfall, closing at 23,670 yuan / ton in early trading. The refinery can't afford to sell; the zinc price in the morning market is consolidating, the market price is about 60-80 yuan/ton in May, and the trading atmosphere is acceptable. Then the zinc price is rapidly increased and the spot market is in a short-term stagnation. Warming up, some double swallows reported a better turnover in May, and the Shanghai-Zinc decline was not limited. The downstream stocks entered the market for inquiry and purchase, the market trading gradually recovered, and the premium continued to rise. Later, the general report reached the premium in May. -120 yuan / ton, Shuangyan reported to 130-140 liters of water, the general enthusiasm for shipment is weak, and Shuangyan shipments are better, the market trading atmosphere is better.
Today, Guangdong 0# zinc mainstream traded at 23,770-23,820 yuan / ton, Guangdong City, near Shanghai, 50-40 yuan / ton. For the Shanghai zinc 1805 contract premium 40-60 yuan / point near, the premium is 30 yuan / ton near yesterday. The Shanghai Zinc 1805 contract dive after the opening, temporarily stopped falling around 23,730 yuan / ton to repair. Today's refineries are more reluctant to sell, and traders have already shipped mainly. The price of zinc plummeted, and the downstream market inquiries, the willingness to get goods improved significantly compared with yesterday, the delivery volume increased compared with yesterday, and the downstream has prepared for the market. The overall market turnover was better than yesterday. 0# Kirin, Cishan, Tiefeng, Danxia mainstream transactions in the vicinity of 23770-23820 yuan / ton.
Tianjin market 0# zinc ingot mainstream turnover in 23800-24920 yuan / ton, 0 # ordinary brand mainstream turnover in 23800-24000 yuan / ton, Shanghai zinc 1805 contract from rising water 100-150 yuan / ton, the premium increased by 50 compared with yesterday Yuan/ton, compared with the Shanghai stock market premium of 50 yuan / ton, the price difference is basically the same as yesterday. The intraday Shanghai Zinc 1805 contract dive after the opening, and stopped falling at around 23,750 yuan / ton. Today's refineries are reluctant to sell, and traders are willing to ship flat. The sharp drop in zinc prices drove the market to get goods sentiment. The downstream market inquiry was positive, the willingness to get the goods was good, and there was some reserve. The market turnover was better than yesterday. 0# Zijin, Hongqi, Bailing, Qinzhuang, Chihong and other transactions in the vicinity of 23800-24000 yuan / ton, 1 # Zijin, Chi Hong, Hung Hom, Canada, West Mine and other transactions 23,750-23,950 yuan / ton.
Tin: Today, Lunxi opened at $20,975/ton, and the Asian period fluctuated downwards, hitting a low of $20,820/ton. Today, non-ferrous metals are generally lower. The Fed’s March optimistic outlook for the economy and inflation suggests a faster rate hike. In the evening, the European Central Bank announced the minutes of the March currency meeting. Recently, the conflict in the Middle East has warmed up, the market sentiment is under pressure, and metals are generally green. The support below Lunxi is US$20,600/ton, and there is further downside risk in the short term.
Overnight Shanghai Tin 1805 contract focus continued to drop slightly, the bottom touched 143,500 yuan / ton; today opened 143,340 yuan / ton, the day's trend is mostly based on shocks, morning shorts have signs of Masukura; near the end of the lowest touch 142690 Yuan/ton, the tail was unexpectedly pulled up and closed at 143,160 yuan / ton, down 1120 yuan / ton from the previous day's settlement price, a decrease of 0.78%. The turnover of 14376 increased by 2,724 lots, and the number of positions was 16,916, an increase of 230 lots. Today, the Shanghai stock market fell mostly under the lead of zinc. Shanghai tin fell below all the average support, and the trend was weak. There is a risk of continuing downside in the short-term, with the support below 140,000 yuan/ton.
In the Shanghai-Silver market, the mainstream transaction in the Shanghai-Shenzhen market today was 142,200-144,000 yuan/ton. The market tempering atmosphere was acceptable, and some traders generated reluctance to sell. Yunxi mainstream 143500-144000 yuan / ton, ordinary cloud word 142600-143300 yuan / ton, Yunxiang discount 500 yuan / ton, Yunheng, ladder, cloud elephant and other flat water to a small premium; small card discount 600-800 yuan / ton, some small cards even fell to 142,000 yuan / ton. The enthusiasm for purchasing on the lower dips is acceptable.
Nickel: The nickel plate was opened at US$13820/ton. After the opening, it was dragged down by the zinc smash. The base metal fell across the board. The nickel was also oscillating down to a low of $13,635/ton. At noon, Lun Nickel was under pressure to consolidate at the low level of the daily average. In the afternoon, the market sentiment eased, and Lun Nickel stabilized and repaired and crossed the daily average. During the European time, Lun Nickel continued to touch up to 13,845 US dollars / ton, but the top faced a strong resistance level of 13,850 US dollars / ton, continued to rush to the upstream power shortage, as of 18:10, Lun Nickel reported at 13,610 US dollars / ton, Closed in the Yin line. The KDJ opening of the daily technical indicator tends to close, the MACD red column becomes shorter, and the night moving average support is concerned at night. In the evening, I paid attention to the first US jobless claims in the week of April 7.
Today, Shanghai Nickel 1807 opened at 102,180 yuan / ton. At the beginning of the session, Shanghai Nickel touched a high of 102,440 yuan / ton. The Shanghai zinc rushed to drag the basic metal to the whole line, and the bulls fled. The Shanghai nickel shocked lower and reached a low of 100,970 yuan / Ton. In the afternoon, the market sentiment gradually stabilized, and some shorts profited, and the bulls also tentatively entered the market, boosting Shanghai's low nickel shocks and rebounding. The center of gravity returned to the top of the daily average and recovered most of the decline in the morning. The closing price was 102,150 yuan/ton. . All day, the Shanghai nickel main contract 1807 closed at Xiaoyangxing, which was 510 yuan/ton higher than the settlement price of the previous trading day, an increase of 0.5%. Volume increased by 501,000 hands to 1.769 million hands, and positions increased by 13,000 hands to 339,000 hands. The daily technical indicator KDJ opened up and diverged. The MACD red column became longer. The intraday capital inflow reached 115 million. The physical range is still above the moving averages. In the evening, Shanghai nickel may continue to fluctuate.
SMM 1# electrolytic nickel 101100~101700 yuan / ton. Russian nickel is 400-500 yuan/ton higher than Wuxi 1805 contract, and Jinchuan nickel is 800-900 yuan/ton. Today, Jinchuan Electrolytic Nickel (large board) Shanghai offers 101,600 yuan/ton. The market supply is sufficient, the traders are quoting positively, the nickel price fluctuates at a high level in the morning, and the purchases of downstream alloys and other enterprises fall back from yesterday, and the market turnover is flat. The mainstream transaction interval in the morning was 101100~101700 yuan/ton. In the afternoon, the nickel price shifted upwards, and some traders lowered their premium shipments. However, downstream companies were cautious in purchasing, and some traders were replenishing their quantities. The mainstream turnover was 101,200~10,800 yuan/ton.
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